deepundergroundpoetry.com
You want a car, not a goat (competition entry)
Imagine three numbered doors,
Behind which you cannot see,
Behind one a car, the others goats,
And a host that smiles with glee.
For the host, he knows everything,
He can see behind each door,
But he is at least sporting chap,
So pay attention, I do implore.
Once you choose a door,
He leaves your chosen door closed,
Instead he will open a different door,
Where a goat becomes exposed.
He will ask you a simple question,
Do you stay or do you switch?
You can choose either unopened door,
The tricky part is: which.
If you stick with your original choice,
Your chance of winning is one third,
If he lets you switch to the last door,
Believe me, that option is preferred.
For the host does not choose by chance,
He always reveals a goat at first,
So if you are clever you will switch,
And your odds improve, (become two thirds).
On the other hand, suppose if:
The host opened a random door?
This is a subtle but different thing,
So the odds are different to before.
In this case the odds are dead even,
It is exactly a fifty fifty split,
So my advice regardless of the host,
It never hurts to switch.
Behind which you cannot see,
Behind one a car, the others goats,
And a host that smiles with glee.
For the host, he knows everything,
He can see behind each door,
But he is at least sporting chap,
So pay attention, I do implore.
Once you choose a door,
He leaves your chosen door closed,
Instead he will open a different door,
Where a goat becomes exposed.
He will ask you a simple question,
Do you stay or do you switch?
You can choose either unopened door,
The tricky part is: which.
If you stick with your original choice,
Your chance of winning is one third,
If he lets you switch to the last door,
Believe me, that option is preferred.
For the host does not choose by chance,
He always reveals a goat at first,
So if you are clever you will switch,
And your odds improve, (become two thirds).
On the other hand, suppose if:
The host opened a random door?
This is a subtle but different thing,
So the odds are different to before.
In this case the odds are dead even,
It is exactly a fifty fifty split,
So my advice regardless of the host,
It never hurts to switch.
Published 26th Jan 2021
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26th Jan 2021 11:07pm
Very very clever answer Noble, I like this and enjoyed the read . Good luck in the comp!
Zazzles 👍🏻
Zazzles 👍🏻
27th Jan 2021 00:13am
26th Jan 2021 11:08pm
28th Jan 2021 4:43pm
I just ran across this and Zazzles is spot on! I just died laughing at this whole package.. but the picture... Omg... hysterical... 😂 😂 😂
Well done!
and good luck!
🌹
xo
Well done!
and good luck!
🌹
xo
16th Mar 2021 3:55am
